The Seattle Storm head into Saturday’s showdown at the Chase Center in San Francisco, aiming to help their Commissioner’s Cup ambitions and climb the Western Conference standings. They’ll face the Golden State Valkyries, an expansion team that has played competitive ball in their first year as a franchise. Seattle arrives with momentum from a recent upset over Minnesota, while Golden State is eager to punch back on their home floor. Here, we bring you our Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries prediction before Saturday’s game begins.
Our Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
Spread: Golden State +10
Total: Under 158.5
Confidence: ⭐️⭐️⭐️
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, 2025 – 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
- Broadcast: WNBA League
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| SEA -10 | SEA -550 / GSV +410 | 158.5 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle’s momentum: The Storm’s upset of Minnesota gave them control of their Commissioner’s Cup fate and showcased their toughness as a team.
- Gabby Williams’ hot streak: She’s shooting 45.8% from three-point range, adding a much-needed third scorer behind Skylar Diggins and Nneka Ogwumike.
- Golden State’s expansion growing pains: The Valkyries are losing depth as EuroBasket losses loom and they may rely heavily on perimeter shooting.
- Injuries & rotation depth: Seattle lacks Katie Lou Samuelson due to a season-ending injury, while Golden State is thin as role players depart for Europe.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
This is the first regular-season meeting between these teams, but these trends are worth monitoring:
- Seattle is 3-2 in their last 5, winning three in a row entering this game.
- Golden State is 2-3 in their last 5, winning their last two games.
- Storm are solid ATS this season at 6-4 against the number.
- Golden State is 6-3 against the spread despite being under .500 on the year.
- The Valkyries are 4-5 on over/unders this year, while Seattle is 5-5.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
Seattle boasts a +2.9 net rating vs Golden State’s –3.4. The Storm are efficient offensively (103.4 ORtg) but vulnerable on defense (100.5 DRtg). Meanwhile, the Valkyries will need to be precise offensively in this contest against a Seattle team that plays the second-slowest pace in the WNBA, with only the Minnesota Lynx playing a slower brand of basketball than Seattle this year.
Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries Model Prediction
Score Projection: Seattle 82 – Golden State 76
Win Probability: Seattle 62%, Golden State 38%
Final Thoughts
Seattle’s balanced offense, hot perimeter shooting, and recent confidence edge should be enough to win this game. Golden State’s lack of depth and defensive inefficiencies make a high-scoring upset unlikely. Expect a moderately paced contest with Seattle controlling the glass and closing out late, though Golden State should cover the number in a low-scoring game out West.
