The Indiana Fever will visit the Atlanta Dream on Tuesday, June 10. Both teams are looking for a key victory here, as they look to stake their claim as the best team outside of the Liberty and Lynx, who have dominated the WNBA to this point in the season. As Tuesday’s showdown approaches, you can find my Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream prediction below before making your decision in the betting markets.
Our Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Pick
- Spread: Atlanta Dream -2.5
- Total: Over 166.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 10, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gateway Center, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: Peachtree TV (Atlanta), MeTV (Indianapolis), ESPN3
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| ATL -2.5 | ATL -140 / IND +120 | 166.5 |
Key Storylines
- Caitlin Clark’s status: The Fever star has been out with a left quadriceps strain, sidelined since late May. But she could return for this game, which could help the Fever on the road.
- Atlanta’s frontcourt upgrade: The Dream have added Brittney Griner and Brionna Jones, creating an imposing post presence, helping the Dream find early-season success.
- Fever players stepping up: Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston have been great at leading the Fever in Clark’s absence.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta is 5-3 ATS so far this season.
- Indiana is also 5-3 against the spread in 2025.
- The over is 4-3-1 in Atlanta’s first eight games of this season.
- The over is just 3-5 in Indiana’s first eight games.
- These teams split their first two games of the season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Brionna Jones | Over 12.5 points | Should thrive against Indiana post defense, who will also have to keep an eye on Griner. |
| Brittney Griner | Over 6.5 rebounds | Has gone over this total in four of her first six games. |
| DeWanna Bonner | Under 10.5 points | Has only hit this total twice in eight games with the Fever. |
Caitlin Clark props are not currently available due to questions about her health status, though that could change as a decision is made on whether or not she will play.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Atlanta is third in offensive rating this season, Indiana ranks fourth in that category.
- Atlanta’s shooting (41.9% FG) is slightly less efficient than that of Indiana (43.8% FG).
- Indiana’s True Shooting (55.4%) is slightly better than Atlanta’s (53.5%).
- With Clark absent, both teams may play slower and focus on half-court execution.
- Potential Mismatch: Atlanta frontcourt versus Indiana’s interior without Clark directing tempo.
Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Model Prediction
Score Projection: Atlanta 89 – Indiana 83
Win Probability: Atlanta 54%, Indiana 46%
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Final Thoughts
Whether or not Caitlin Clark plays in this game, the Dream should use their size to disrupt what the Fever like to do offensively. Clark’s return could mean fewer minutes than usual for her, while her absence certainly wouldn’t help the Fever offense. Expect the Dream to come away with a win at home here and to stay in the top-three in the league standings through another night.
