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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 6/13/2025
Friday, June 13 delivers Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Indianapolis to face the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. With Indiana holding a 2–1 lead in the series, Oklahoma City’s quest to avoid a 3–1 hole hinges on reasserting control after a Game 3 loss. The Thunder need to restore their defensive intensity, while the Pacers look to reinforce momentum behind their offensive balance and a home crowd desperate to see them succeed.
Our Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Pick
- Spread: Thunder -6
- Total: Over 226.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
- Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Broadcast: ABC
Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Odds
Spread | Thunder -6 |
Moneyline | Pacers +175, Thunder -220 |
Total | 226.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Pacers are riding high after a strong Game 3 win (116–107), paced by Tyrese Haliburton’s near triple-double and Bennedict Mathurin’s 27 off the bench.
- Myles Turner had five blocked shots in Game 3 and will be key for Indiana’s defense and rebounding effort.
- The Thunder struggled defensively, surrendering 51.8 % shooting to their opponents. They must clamp down here.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains central to OKC's success. Despite being limited late in Game 3, he still posted 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
During this series, Game 3 shifted momentum toward Indiana, but regular-season play favored Oklahoma City. The Thunder went 2–0 straight-up against the Pacers and covered both times. OKC is 3-2 against the Pacers overall this year, but that will mean nothing if the Thunder can't get a win tonight to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the Finals.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop | Analysis |
---|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Over 33.5 PTS | SGA remains the engine for OKC, expect a bounce-back scoring night. |
Chet Holmgren | Over 8.5 REB | Holmgren grabbed 10 boards in Game 3 and should clean up on the glass again. |
Myles Turner | Under 5.5 REB | Turner had two rebounds in Game 3 and should struggle in that department as he contends with Holmgren/Hartenstein. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
OKC boasts the best defensive rating in the playoffs, leading in opponent turnovers. The Pacers, meanwhile, show elite offensive efficiency, ranking near the top in eFG%, offensive rating, and assists. The key matchup in this game will be whether or not Indiana’s sharpshooters can find space against Oklahoma City’s length and versatile perimeter defense.
Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Model Projection
Score Projection | Win Probability |
---|---|
Thunder 120 – Pacers 109 | OKC 57% / Indiana 43% |
Final Thoughts
Expect a tight contest with the Thunder pushing hard to even the series. Our lean is toward the Thunder doing just that, winning and covering the spread to send this series back to OKC tied at two, while the Thunder reclaim home-court advantage for the rest of the series.
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.
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Oklahoma City Thunder
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