Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 Pick – 6/8/2025

The 2025 NBA Finals take a dramatic turn as Game 2 arrives. After the Indiana Pacers stunned the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 with a last-second 111‑110 win, Tyrese Haliburton’s buzzer-beater has put the pressure firmly on the Thunder. Now both teams gear up for Sunday, June 8, 2025 at 8 PM ET in Oklahoma City, where the Thunder will look to reassert dominance while the Pacers aim to take a 2-0 series lead. Continue reading to get my Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction for Game 2 of the NBA Finals.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Pacers are riding high after their breathtaking Game 1 comeback. Haliburton continues to shine under pressure, and role players such as Obi Toppin and Aaron Nesmith have contributed consistently. Indiana heads into Game 2 as underdogs, yet those same long odds could offer value. The absence of bench forward Jarace Walker is a concern, but Tony Bradley should step in effectively, and starter Aaron Nesmith is confirmed to play, having recovered from an ankle injury.

Betting angles:

• The Pacers have shown resilience and clutch poise, factors not reflected in standard betting lines.
• As double-digit underdogs, Indiana covers approximately 45% of those situations, though Game 1 offers a sign they may overperform again.
• If Haliburton hits his rhythm early, Indiana can keep this within striking distance.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Thunder, who entered the playoffs with a 68‑14 record, remain the favorites. MVP Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander has led them throughout this postseason, with from Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. OKC will look to clean up late-game execution and tighten their defense after a disastrous fourth quarter in Game 1.

Betting angles:

• OKC is an 11‑point favorite, a line in which they've performed well historically, covering about 63% of the time this season.
• Their defense is elite, as they averaged a defensive rating of 104.7 in the playoffs.
• Shai continues to be a standout. Expect him to lead all scorers Sunday.

Pacers vs Thunder Betting Odds

• Point Spread: Thunder ‑11
• Moneyline: Thunder around ‑588, Pacers around +433
• Over/Under: 228.5 points

The over/under seems fair, as both teams averaged nearly 238 combined points this season, which suggests a high-scoring game is likely.

Pacers vs Thunder Prediction

Sunday’s Game 2 gives us a clash of styles once again. OKC, healthy and defending home court, know they can shut down the Pacers if they execute. Indiana, on the other hand, has proven to be defiant under pressure, and their offensive balance plus improved turnaround via depth could keep it competitive.

Here’s how I break it down:

1. Thunder bounce-back intensity: After blowing a lead and losing at home, OKC’s collective focus should tighten. SGA will be aggressive, and the frontcourt duo of Holmgren and Hartenstein should control the paint.
2. Pacers’ offensive threat: Their shooting and ball movement present matchup issues, especially if Nesmith and Toppin stay hot.
3. Game tempo: With Oklahoma City being at home, expect a faster pace that leads to a high-scoring contest, favoring the over.
4. Bench impact: Walker’s absence still leaves Indiana shorthanded inside, though Bradley is serviceable.

Final call: The Thunder should win decisively at home. A final could land around 125‑112 OKC. If you’re betting:

• Play the spread: Thunder ‑11 seems sound given their home dominance.
• Try the over: With both teams averaging high totals, over 228.5 is appealing.

Pick: Thunder win, likely around 13‑point margin, cover the ‑11 spread. Expect this to be fast-paced and over 228.5 points.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

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