The excitement is building as fans prepare for the matchup between Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos at UFC Atlanta on Saturday, June 14, 2025. In this key bantamweight bout, both men bring contrasting styles, recent momentum, and distinct strengths to the Octagon. Here, I break those factors down to give you my Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos prediction for Saturday night.
Our Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos Pick
- Pick: Raoni Barcelos via decision
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Statistic | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 38 |
| Reach | 65.5″ | 67″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 14–6–0 | 19–5–0 |
Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos Preview
Cody Garbrandt, the former UFC bantamweight champion, returns to the cage after a dramatic knockout win over Brian Kelleher in December 2023, before succumbing to a submission against Deiveson Figueiredo in April 2024. Known for his power, as 11 of his 14 victories have come by knockout, Garbrandt is a constant threat to put the lights out early. However, questions remain about his gas tank and grappling defense.
Raoni Barcelos, at age 38, remains dangerous. He’s fresh off a unanimous decision over Payton Talbott in January 2025 and a third-round submission against Cristian Quiñonez in February 2024. With 8 knockouts, 3 submissions and 8 decision wins, Barcelos boasts a well-rounded game. His solid takedown defense and significant strike defense suggest he can blunt Garbrandt’s attacks and control the fight’s action.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline odds from bet365 have Barcelos as a -200 favorite, while Garbrandt is a +175 underdog.
- A full three-round fight is expected here, as over 2.5 rounds sits at -140, while under 2.5 rounds is at even money.
- Three of Garbrandt’s last four fights have ended inside the distance, including his losses to Figuereido and Kai Kara-.
- Barcelos has seen two of his last three fights go to the judges.
Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos Prediction
Drawing from recent form and projecting the stylistic matchup, Barcelos holds the edge with his grappling prowess and disciplined striking defense. Garbrandt is dangerous off the bat, but Barcelos has shown the ability to weather early storms and implement his strategy over three rounds. Garbrandt’s vulnerability to submissions, as seen in April, plays right into Barcelos’ strengths. Expect Barcelos to maintain distance, avoid wild exchanges, and cruise to a decision victory.
Final Thoughts
This fight pits raw power against versatility. Garbrandt brings knockout ability, but Barcelos’ versatile toolkit, recent winning trajectory, and wrestling cast him as the safer pick. For bettors, Barcelos offers value, with a high probability of decision. Those chasing KO odds on Garbrandt might get rewarded, but a smart play leans toward Barcelos by decision.
