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Zach Eflin

Baltimore Orioles

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Baltimore Orioles

06:35 PM

Jun 11, 2025

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Detroit Tigers

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -147

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Jake Rogers, Spencer Torkelson).

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) in charge of the strike zone today.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Zach Eflin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zach Eflin has used his secondary pitches 5.1% more often this year (67.8%) than he did last season (62.7%).

Zach Eflin has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.02 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.06 — a 1.04 K/9 gap.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 85°.

The Detroit Tigers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in this matchup.

Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Zach Eflin and his 44.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

In his last game started, Zach Eflin didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Among all starting pitchers, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 19th percentile this year.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -156

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Zach Eflin has tallied 17.4 outs per start this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) in charge of the strike zone today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 85°.

The Detroit Tigers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in this matchup.

Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Zach Eflin and his 44.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Among all starting pitchers, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 19th percentile this year.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 85°.

The Detroit Tigers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in this matchup.

Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Zach Eflin and his 44.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Among all starting pitchers, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 19th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) in charge of the strike zone today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — today.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Zach Eflin Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-158)
un 5.5 (119)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (115)
-
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (-150)
un 5.5 (120)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-113)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-120)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (109)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-150)
un 17.5 (120)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-141)
un 4.5 (108)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (112)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (115)
Walks Allowed
ov 0.5 (-190)
un 0.5 (140)
ov 0.5 (-235)
un 0.5 (165)
-
-
ov 0.5 (-190)
un 0.5 (140)

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MLB Player Props › Zach Eflin Projections, Prop Bets & Odds