Shane Baz Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

With a 5.14 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control), Shane Baz falls in the 14th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 7th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Shane Baz was rolling in his previous game started and allowed 0 ER.

Shane Baz is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -135

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 7th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Shane Baz was rolling in his previous game started and allowed 0 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

With a 5.14 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control), Shane Baz falls in the 14th percentile.

Shane Baz is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Carlos Narvaez, Kristian Campbell).

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 7th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Shane Baz was in good form in his last outing and accumulated 10 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shane Baz in today's game.

Shane Baz is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.