Ryne Nelson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Out of all starters, Ryne Nelson's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryne Nelson to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 18.4% underlying K%.

Chase Field grades out as the #27 park in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The San Diego Padres have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games

Chase Field projects as the #3 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.

Ryne Nelson has used his four-seamer 7.3% more often this year (63.3%) than he did last year (56%).

Ryne Nelson has put up a .242 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest average fence height in MLB.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 100

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest average fence height in MLB.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryne Nelson to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games

Chase Field projects as the #3 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.

Ryne Nelson has used his four-seamer 7.3% more often this year (63.3%) than he did last year (56%).

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 15.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.