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Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Chicago Cubs

02:20 PM

Jun 13, 2025

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Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -140

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Paul Skenes and his 48.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this season (97.4 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).

Paul Skenes has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .224 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

The 10.1% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs makes them the #6 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in the league currently.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst ballpark in the league for walks.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fences among all stadiums.

Paul Skenes is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -190

Strikeouts 6.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the majors right now when assessing his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul Skenes has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 7.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starter.

The #5 venue in baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Paul Skenes was rolling in his last start and posted 7 strikeouts.

Paul Skenes's change-up percentage has spiked by 24.5% from last season to this one (5.4% to 29.9%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Paul Skenes and his 48.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this season (97.4 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).

Paul Skenes is projected to have 6.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 110

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in the league currently.

Paul Skenes has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 7.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starter.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst ballpark in the league for walks.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Paul Skenes and his 48.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this season (97.4 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).

Paul Skenes has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .224 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

The 10.1% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs makes them the #6 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.

Paul Skenes is projected to have 17.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Paul Skenes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-126)
un 4.5 (-109)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-115)
-
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-110)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (106)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (110)
-
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (110)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (129)
un 18.5 (-175)
ov 18.5 (135)
un 18.5 (-175)
ov 18.5 (134)
un 18.5 (-188)
ov 18.5 (110)
un 18.5 (-155)
ov 18.5 (135)
un 18.5 (-180)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (-161)
un 6.5 (121)
ov 6.5 (-160)
un 6.5 (120)
ov 6.5 (-148)
un 6.5 (116)
ov 6.5 (-190)
un 6.5 (140)
ov 6.5 (-160)
un 6.5 (125)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-105)
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (100)

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MLB Player Props › Paul Skenes Projections, Prop Bets & Odds