Mitch Keller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Houston Astros offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Sean Barber) calling pitches today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Mitch Keller's 93.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph decline from last season's 94.5-mph mark.

Placing 7th-steepest in Major League Baseball this year, Houston Astros bats tly have recorded a 15.1° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to assess power skills).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

With 8 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Mitch Keller figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Mitch Keller will hold that advantage in today's game.

In his previous start, Mitch Keller was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

Mitch Keller has gone to his slider 8.8% more often this season (33.9%) than he did last season (25.1%).

Mitch Keller is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 105

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Mitch Keller falls in the 81st percentile.

With 8 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Mitch Keller figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Mitch Keller will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mitch Keller has gone to his slider 8.8% more often this season (33.9%) than he did last season (25.1%).

Among all starters, Mitch Keller's fastball spin rate of 2403 rpm grades out in the 79th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Sean Barber) calling pitches today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Mitch Keller's 93.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph decline from last season's 94.5-mph mark.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Mitch Keller posted a 7.7% Swinging Strike% this year.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.