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Luis Severino

Athletics

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Kansas City Royals

08:10 PM

Jun 13, 2025

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Athletics

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -175

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Luis Severino has averaged 97 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences in MLB.

In his previous outing, Luis Severino was on point and allowed 0 ER.

Luis Severino has utilized his cutter 10% more often this season (18%) than he did last season (8%).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Kansas City Royals have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #1 field in the league for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Considering that flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Luis Severino and his 43.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's matchup matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Luis Severino is projected to have 17.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -147

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Luis Severino has averaged 97 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Luis Severino has utilized his cutter 10% more often this season (18%) than he did last season (8%).

Luis Severino's 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 85th percentile among all SPs.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Kansas City Royals (20.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Considering that flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Luis Severino and his 43.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's matchup matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Luis Severino is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Kansas City Royals have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #1 field in the league for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Considering that flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Luis Severino and his 43.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's matchup matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences in MLB.

In his previous outing, Luis Severino was on point and allowed 0 ER.

Luis Severino has utilized his cutter 10% more often this season (18%) than he did last season (8%).

Luis Severino's 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 85th percentile among all SPs.

Luis Severino is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Luis Severino Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 6.5 (112)
un 6.5 (-153)
ov 6.5 (110)
un 6.5 (-155)
-
ov 6.5 (110)
un 6.5 (-155)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-145)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-131)
un 2.5 (-104)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-115)
ov 2.5 (-140)
un 2.5 (110)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-181)
un 17.5 (133)
ov 17.5 (-190)
un 17.5 (140)
ov 17.5 (-176)
un 17.5 (134)
ov 17.5 (-175)
un 17.5 (120)
ov 17.5 (-180)
un 17.5 (135)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-135)
un 3.5 (103)
ov 3.5 (-135)
un 3.5 (105)
ov 3.5 (-136)
un 3.5 (106)
ov 3.5 (-140)
un 3.5 (110)
ov 3.5 (-125)
un 3.5 (-105)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-103)
un 1.5 (-133)
ov 1.5 (105)
un 1.5 (-145)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-110)
un 1.5 (-120)

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MLB Player Props › Luis Severino Projections, Prop Bets & Odds