Lucas Giolito Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) in charge of the strike zone today.

In the league, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball batters, Lucas Giolito and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Lucas Giolito will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for batting average.

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 15.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for batting average.

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) in charge of the strike zone today.

In the league, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball batters, Lucas Giolito and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Lucas Giolito will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -125

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Logan O'Hoppe, Chris Taylor, Jo Adell, Mike Trout).

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) in charge of the strike zone today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball batters, Lucas Giolito and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Lucas Giolito will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Lucas Giolito will have a disadvantage squaring off against 8 batters in the projected offense who bat from the same side in this outing.

Ranking in the 10th percentile, Lucas Giolito compiled a 7.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.