Casey Mize Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -160

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 116

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) calling pitches in today's game.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 8th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Mize today.

Casey Mize's fastball velocity has fallen 1.7 mph this season (93.7 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate in of overall offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

This contest is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Casey Mize is an extreme groundball pitcher (46% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #5 HR venue in MLB — in today's game.

Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Casey Mize (46% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Casey Mize is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

This contest is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Casey Mize (46% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Casey Mize's change-up percentage has spiked by 7.4% from last season to this one (18.1% to 25.5%) .

Placing in the 78th percentile, Casey Mize put up a 12% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) calling pitches in today's game.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Mize today.

Casey Mize's fastball velocity has fallen 1.7 mph this season (93.7 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).

Considering the 0.55 discrepancy between Casey Mize's 7.94 K/9 and his 7.39 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

Casey Mize is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate in of overall offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

This contest is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Casey Mize is an extreme groundball pitcher (46% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #5 HR venue in MLB — in today's game.

Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Casey Mize (46% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) calling pitches in today's game.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 8th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Mize today.

Casey Mize's fastball velocity has fallen 1.7 mph this season (93.7 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).

Casey Mize is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.