Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks – 4/25/2024

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Overview

• Date: April 25, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Alex Wood - Athletics
  • Nestor Cortes - Yankees
• Run Line: Athletics 1.5 100, Yankees -1.5 -120
• Money Line: Athletics 220, Yankees -260
• Total (Over/Under): 8

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 30%
• New York Yankees - 70%

Projected Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 27.01%
• New York Yankees - 72.99%

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Game Preview & Prediction

In a matchup scheduled for April 25, 2024, the New York Yankees will host the Oakland Athletics at Yankee Stadium. This game will feature an American League showdown between two teams with contrasting records this season.

The Yankees enter the game with a strong 17-8 record, making it clear that they are having a great season. On the other hand, the Athletics have struggled with a 9-16 record, indicating a rather terrible season for them.

Taking the mound for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes, a left-handed pitcher who has been ranked as the #32 best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. In comparison, Alex Wood, the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, is considered one of the worst pitchers in the league.

Cortes has started five games this season and holds a 1-1 win/loss record. His ERA stands at an impressive 3.41, indicating his strong performance on the mound. Furthermore, his 2.75 xERA (Expected ERA) suggests that he has been unlucky this season and is likely to perform even better going forward.

On the other hand, Wood has struggled this year, starting five games with a win/loss record of 0-2 and an alarming ERA of 7.89. However, his 5.43 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky, and there is potential for improvement in his performance.

In of offensive rankings, the Yankees have the 15th best offense in MLB this season, which is considered average. However, their team batting average ranks 29th, indicating a struggle in that aspect. Despite this, they do possess the 8th best team home run ranking.

The Athletics, on the other hand, have the 28th best offense in MLB, which is considered very poor. Their team batting average ranks last in the league, but they do have the 5th best team stolen bases ranking.

Considering the projected starting pitchers and the offensive rankings, the Yankees are heavily favored in this game. The current odds reflect this, with the Yankees having a moneyline of -245, indicating a 69% implied win probability. In contrast, the Athletics are considered underdogs with a moneyline of +210, suggesting a 31% implied win probability.

With these factors in mind, the Yankees are expected to have a strong advantage in this matchup. However, as with any game, anything can happen on the field, and the Athletics will certainly be looking to defy the odds and secure a victory.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Because of his large platoon split, Alex Wood will have a tough challenge squaring off against 6 bats in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today's game.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

The Oakland Athletics bullpen projects as the 5th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Among every team in action today, the 12th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 79 of their last 139 games (+11.23 Units / 7% ROI)

Athletics vs Yankees Prediction: Athletics 3.05 - Yankees 4.88

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