Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 6/14/2025

The Atlanta Braves will host the Colorado Rockies on June 14, 2025, at Truist Park in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two struggling teams. The Braves enter the game with a record of 30-38, while the Rockies are mired in a dreadful 13-56 season. In their last encounter, the Braves managed to secure a victory, but both teams are looking to turn their seasons around.

Spencer Strider is projected to take the mound for the Braves, bringing with him a mixed bag of results. Although he ranks as the 25th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, his Win/Loss record stands at 0-5 this season. Strider has shown flashes of brilliance with a 4.35 SIERA, indicating he may have been unlucky this year, but his ERA of 5.40 suggests there is still work to be done. On the flip side, the Rockies will counter with Chase Dollander, who has struggled mightily; he has a 6.85 ERA and ranks among the worst pitchers in MLB.

The Braves' offense is currently ranked 16th in MLB, which is average, while the Rockies' offense sits at a dismal 29th place. This disparity could give the Braves an edge in the matchup, especially since Strider is pitching against a Rockies lineup that has managed just 60 home runs this season, the 6th least in MLB.

Betting lines show the Braves as heavy favorites with a moneyline of -320, suggesting a strong likelihood of victory. With an implied team total of 5.41 runs, the Braves are expected to capitalize on their opportunities, especially against a Rockies pitching staff struggling to find consistency. This game could serve as a crucial turning point for the Braves if they can leverage their offensive strengths against a faltering Rockies squad.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Chase Dollander's 96.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 97th percentile among all SPs.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Bats such as Orlando Arcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Strider who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.71, Atlanta Braves 5.41

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Venue: Truist Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Chase Dollander - Rockies
  • Spencer Strider - Braves

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